Assessing the Impact of Climate Change on Nature-Based Tourism: Development of Vulnerability and Resilience Indices for Protected Areas to Manage Adaptation Strategies - PACT-VIRA

 

                   

Project details:
Today's tourism demand is increasingly influenced by external factors, with climate change being one of the most important. Climate change is a burning global problem with far-reaching consequences for various sectors, including tourism. There is great heterogeneity in the assessments of the physical and socio-economic impacts of climate change, depending on the destination and methodology. Climate change particularly threatens the sustainability of nature-based tourism, especially in protected areas, which are often untouched ecosystems and biodiversity hotspots and are sensitive to extreme weather events, fires, droughts, habitat loss, and changes in species distribution. Tourism in protected natural areas represents an important segment of the global economy and is crucial for the preservation of natural resources. However, with the increase in climate change, these areas are increasingly exposed to threats that can significantly impact their sustainability and attractiveness to tourists. Therefore, it is important to investigate how climate change affects tourism in protected areas and to develop adaptation strategies that will ensure the sustainability of tourism activities. The objectives of this project are multidisciplinary and aimed at a deeper understanding of the interactions between climate change, tourism, and nature conservation. The first objective is to assess the current state of tourism in protected areas to identify key climate threats. Then, the vulnerability of these areas to climate change will be analyzed, with a special focus on extreme weather conditions, changes in species habitats, and tourism development. Identifying relevant vulnerability indicators will be crucial for monitoring and evaluating the impact of climate change. By developing tailored vulnerability and resilience indices, the research will contribute to more effective management of the impacts of climate change on tourism. The ultimate goal is to ensure the long-term sustainability and resilience of protected areas and to maximize the benefits of tourism for local communities and nature conservation.

Project Objectives:

  • Assess the impact of climate change on nature-based tourism in three selected test areas (Plitvice Lakes National Park, Kopački Rit Nature Park, Vis Archipelago Geopark)
  • Develop a vulnerability index and a resilience index for protected areas as a foundation for managing climate change adaptation strategies
 

Project leader:
Izidora Marković Vukadin, PhD

Team members:

  • Izidora Marković Vukadin, PhD (Institute for Tourism)
  • Mira Zovko, PhD (Institute for Tourism)
  • Hrvoje Carić, PhD (Institute for Tourism)
  • Ivo Beroš, PhD (Institute for Tourism)
  • Hrvoje Mataković, PhD (Institute for Tourism)
  • Damir Krešić, PhD (Institute for Tourism)
  • Staša Borović, PhD (Croatian Geological Institute)
  • Marco Pola, PhD (Croatian Geological Institute)
  • Josip Terzić, PhD (Croatian Geological Institute)
  • Kosta Urumović, PhD (Croatian Geological Institute)
  • Tanja Likso, PhD (Meteorological and Hydrological Service of Croatia)
  • Lidija Srnec, M.Sc. (Meteorological and Hydrological Service of Croatia)
  • Ivana Havrle Kozarić, M.Sc. (Meteorological and Hydrological Service of Croatia)
  • Ivana Herceg Bulić, PhD (Faculty of Science, University of Zagreb)
  • Aljoša Duplić, PhD (Institute for Nature Protection)
  • Karla Fabrio Čubrić, M.Sc. (Institute for Nature Protection)
  • Tamara Kirin, PhD (Institute for Nature Protection)
  • Ante Mandić, PhD (Faculty of Economics, University of Split)
  • Luka Valožić, PhD (Institute for Tourism)
  • Leona Matotek, Mag. Geogr. (Institute for Tourism)
 

News


18.12.2024.

Kick-Off Meeting Held for the PACT-VIRA Project

On December 18th, the first meeting of the HRZZ project “Assessing the Impact of Climate Change on Nature-Based Tourism: Development of Vulnerability and Resilience Indices for Protected Areas to Manage Adaptation Strategies” (PACT-VIRA) was held. The project is led by Dr. Izidora Marković Vukadin from the Institute for Tourism. The meeting brought together approximately 20 collaborators from six institutions, including the Institute for Tourism, the Croatian Meteorological and Hydrological Service (DHMZ), the Croatian Geological Survey, the Faculty of Economics at the University of Split, the Ministry of Environmental Protection and Green Transition (MZOZT), and the Faculty of Science (PMF).

Project Objectives:

  • O1. Conduct a comprehensive review of literature and practices related to the impacts of climate change on tourism, protected areas, vulnerability and resilience of protected areas, and the evaluation and indicators of vulnerability and resilience.
  • O2. Assess the current state of tourism in protected natural areas to identify key climate risks and associated threats affecting the sustainability of tourism activities, considering factors such as extreme weather events, potential natural hazards, and habitat loss.
  • O3. Carry out a thorough vulnerability assessment of protected areas to various climate change risks and associated stressors using spatial analysis techniques, surveys of local communities and visitors, analysis of visitor usage patterns, climate data analysis, and hydrological analysis to evaluate factors such as habitat sensitivity and socio-economic vulnerability.
  • O4. Based on various climate risks and associated stressors, propose a set of vulnerability indicators using spatial analysis techniques, local community and visitor surveys, analysis of visitor spatial movement, climate data analysis, and hydrological analysis.
  • O5. Identify and quantify resilience indicators within environmental, social, and economic dimensions to evaluate the capacity of protected areas to resist and recover from the impacts of climate change.
  • O6. Develop a composite Vulnerability Index and Resilience Index tailored to diverse protected areas in Croatia, integrating the findings of vulnerability and resilience assessments to provide a holistic understanding of the challenges and opportunities posed by climate change.
  • O7. Translate the results of the indices into actionable recommendations for protected area managers, policymakers, and tourism stakeholders to enhance adaptive capacity and promote sustainable tourism practices in the face of climate change.

The meeting served as an opportunity for participants to get acquainted and to present the work plan and planned activities for the project's first year of implementation. We look forward to future collaboration and the successful realization of the project!